Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 2.903130e-01 0.387407 0.500295 0.639302 0.803900 0.990684 1.216714
2026-02-01 1.527913e-01 0.261940 0.410196 0.617281 0.889963 1.227980 1.669450
2026-02-08 9.015591e-02 0.200491 0.374591 0.645863 1.034589 1.549161 2.258252
2026-02-15 4.896791e-02 0.147719 0.330857 0.648255 1.139201 1.826594 2.816342
2026-02-22 3.046837e-02 0.123412 0.322212 0.697533 1.312519 2.209125 3.540215
2026-03-01 1.740377e-02 0.099780 0.305022 0.726452 1.454996 2.556353 4.235658
2026-03-08 8.607361e-03 0.076930 0.279229 0.732361 1.558021 2.849837 4.868877
2026-03-15 3.419352e-03 0.056336 0.248051 0.719095 1.624118 3.088340 5.431418
2026-03-22 1.341375e-03 0.044392 0.232465 0.732283 1.734570 3.399262 6.111800
2026-03-29 3.612135e-04 0.033757 0.214078 0.734187 1.822635 3.677112 6.751622
2026-04-05 2.994090e-05 0.023485 0.188837 0.713278 1.863791 3.878512 7.280347
2026-04-12 6.894833e-11 0.016115 0.167487 0.695449 1.906884 4.082881 7.818778
2026-04-19 NaN 0.011739 0.155452 0.700020 1.997247 4.376058 8.515157
2026-04-26 NaN 0.007137 0.134589 0.673751 2.020573 4.554390 9.035728
2026-05-03 NaN 0.005661 0.132443 0.702700 2.163902 4.950086 9.919617
2026-05-10 NaN 0.003779 0.122580 0.704487 2.247458 5.242335 10.643648
2026-05-17 NaN 0.003398 0.127386 0.756340 2.447065 5.751863 11.738087
2026-05-24 NaN 0.002656 0.126084 0.786754 2.599791 6.181027 12.709995
2026-05-31 NaN 0.001734 0.118558 0.792898 2.696521 6.510360 13.523849
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000912 0.106667 0.778799 2.743633 6.748451 14.190259
2026-06-14 NaN 0.000568 0.102250 0.792729 2.858877 7.118181 15.086867
2026-06-21 NaN 0.000291 0.095493 0.794728 2.944369 7.433499 15.897141
2026-06-28 NaN 0.000088 0.084216 0.772590 2.966771 7.627665 16.504001